Confusion could reign in Wisconsin on Election Day when posted results from the closely watched battleground state appear to be complete but don’t include thousands of absentee ballots still being counted, members of the state’s bipartisan elections commission said Tuesday.
The commission voted unanimously to recommend that counties make clear when posting election results how many absentee ballots are outstanding. The guidance approved Tuesday was being sent to election clerks two weeks before the election.
Most places in Wisconsin count all of their ballots, including absentees, at the polling place. But in 39 communities, including the state’s largest city of Milwaukee, ballots can also be counted at a central location rather than at polling places. In those municipalities, initial reports from a precinct won’t include the absentees, which can lead to a severe undercounting of ballots cast.
In Milwaukee, absentee ballots can only be reported once they have all been counted. Given the high number of absentee ballots this year, those results aren’t expected until late into the night, or early in the morning on Nov. 4.
People are also reading…
“We’ve got to do something so we don’t have confusion here,” said Commissioner Dean Knudson, a Republican on the state elections commission, which is evenly divided among Republicans and Democrats.
Municipalities that use central count are required by state law to post the number of ballots that have been returned by the closing hour on Election Day. The commission on Tuesday asked counties to make clear, when posting results, how many absentee ballots were still outstanding.
That is better than waiting to post any results until all of the absentee ballots have been counted, said Republican Commissioner Bob Spindell.
“I don’t think we should keep the country on the edge of its seat in terms of what’s happening,” he said.
In most elections, only about 6% of ballots cast are absentee. But this year, because of the coronavirus pandemic, a record-high number of ballots are being cast absentee. As of Tuesday, more than 915,000 absentee ballots had been returned out of 1.4 million requested. That is 30% of the total ballots cast in 2016.
Elections officials have predicted that as many as 2 million of total ballots cast will be absentee. Tuesday marked the beginning of in-person early voting in Wisconsin.
The memo to clerks approved by the commission Tuesday also makes clear that for any absentee ballot to be counted, it must be received by the close of polls on Election Day at 8 p.m. That includes any ballot left in a drop box. Elections officials must collect those ballots in time for them to be counted as received by the close of polls, the memo said.
The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a lawsuit that seeks to extend the deadline for counting absentee ballots received by Nov. 9.
9 Wisconsin races to watch on Election Night
Races to watch on Nov. 3
3rd Congressional District: Ron Kind (D) vs. Derrick Van Orden (R)
Ron Kind, who has represented Wisconsin in Congress since 1997, faces significant spending on behalf of his Republican challenger, Derrick Van Orden, a retired Navy Seal. Kind didn't face an opponent in 2016 when Donald Trump won the district by 4.5 points.
Total spending:
Democrats: $1,156,534
Republicans: $1,417,465
8th Senate District: Alberta Darling (R) vs. Neal Plotkin (D)
Darling is a longtime fixture of the Wisconsin Republican Party and a prolific fundraiser, but eroding GOP support in her suburban district could give her more trouble this year than she's faced before.
Total spending:
Democrats: $240,631
Republicans: $327,862
10th Senate District: Patty Schachtner (D) vs. Rob Stafsholt (R)
Schachtner's 2018 special election victory in this northwest Wisconsin district signaled a coming "blue wave" of Democratic support ahead of Gov. Tony Evers' gubernatorial win later that year. But Schachtner could face stronger headwinds in a presidential election year.
Total spending:
Democrats: $183,456
Republicans: $478,616
30th Senate District: Jonathon Hansen (D) vs. Eric Wimberger (R)
A longtime Democratic senator won this Green Bay-area district by less than 3 points in 2016 and is retiring after this year. His nephew is running for the seat, which Republicans are hoping to flip.
Total spending:
Democrats: $430,736
Republicans: $234,711
32nd Senate District: Brad Pfaff (D) vs. Dan Kapanke (R)
Wisconsin's ousted Democratic Agriculture, Trade and Consumer Protection secretary faces the Republican who held this competitive seat encompassing La Crosse prior to being recalled in 2011. The district, which Democrats won by just 56 votes in 2016, could prove a bellwether for the presidential outcome this year.
Total spending:
Democrats: $411,332
Republicans: $102,129
14th Assembly District: Robyn Vining (D) vs. Bonnie Lee (R)
Republicans are hoping to reclaim a suburban Milwaukee seat that had previously been held by former Gov. Scott Walker, former Sen. Leah Vukmir and current Sen. Dale Kooyenga. Outside groups have spent more than $200,000 in the district, where the Democratic incumbent flipped the seat by a less than 1 point margin in 2018.
Total spending:
Democrats: $111,835
Republicans: $238,528
23rd Assembly District: Jim Ott (R) vs. Deb Andraca (D)
The Republican incumbent has been in the state Assembly since 2007 and won his last race by about 4 percentage points. His challenger has raised more than double Ott’s fundraising total this election cycle, and Democratic spending in the district is more than twice that of Republican spending. The district includes several suburban communities north of Milwaukee, from Whitefish Bay to Grafton.
Total spending:
Democrats: $136,201
Republicans: $42,807
24th Assembly District: Dan Knodl (R) vs. Emily Siegrist (D)
The Republican incumbent since 2009 once again faces a Democratic challenger he beat by more than 2,000 votes in 2018. This year, Democratic spending in the district, which is located in the Milwaukee suburbs and includes communities like Germantown, Mequon and River Hills, has been roughly three times that of Republican spending.
Total spending:
Democrats: $81,589
Republicans: $24,179
51st Assembly District: Todd Novak (R) vs. Kriss Marion (D)
The Democratic challenger has raised nearly twice that of the GOP incumbent, who has held the seat since 2015 and won his 2018 re-election bid by a little over 300 votes, or about 1 percentage point. Outside spending has the candidates about neck and neck in the money race. The district is located west of Madison and includes communities like Dodgeville, Mineral Point and Monroe.
Total spending:
Democrats: $121,539
Republicans: $124,214

