The latest Marquette Law School Poll shows more Wisconsin voters oppose impeaching and removing President Trump from office than support the move, representing virtually no change since last month.
The poll also found former Vice President Joe Biden maintaining his lead in Wisconsin over other Democratic contenders in the presidential primary and a tight race between potential Democrats and Trump in a 2020 head-to-head match-up.
On impeachment, 40% of respondents say Trump should be removed from office, while 52% don’t think so and 6% say they don’t know. Views on impeachment are largely split along party lines with 94% of Republicans opposed to removing Trump from office while only 4% think he should be removed, which is unchanged from last month.
Among Democrats, 80% think Trump should be removed from office while 11% don’t think so, virtually unchanged from last month’s results. A plurality, 47%, of independent voters oppose Trump’s removal from office, while 34% say they support ousting him, also nearly unchanged from November.
A Marquette poll released last month as the House held public testimony as part of its impeachment investigation showed 40% of respondents thought Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 53% said he shouldn’t be. An October poll found 44% thought Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 51% didn’t think so.
“The stability here is really the striking bit,” Franklin said. “Whatever occurred as the public hearings began in November basically had its effect. People are dug in.”
House Democrats launched an impeachment inquiry in September focusing on whether Trump abused his presidential powers by attempting to leverage Ukraine to investigate a political opponent — Biden, and his son Hunter.
On Tuesday, House Democrats unveiled two articles of impeachment. One accuses Trump of abusing his power by asking Ukraine to investigate Biden, while holding military aid as leverage. The second accuses him of obstruction of Congress by blocking the House’s efforts to investigate his actions.
The latest poll found 52% of respondents said they believe Trump asked the Ukrainian president to investigate Trump’s political rivals, while 29% say Trump didn’t. Those numbers remain unchanged from last month and also split along party lines.
Trump’s approval ratings have remained mostly unchanged since last month, with 47% approving of Trump’s job performance and 50% disapproving.
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The poll sample included 800 registered voters in Wisconsin who were interviewed over the phone. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points and plus or minus 6.3 percentage points for Democratic presidential preference questions.
Among poll respondents, 39% identified as a Democrat or an independent leaning Democratic, 37% identified as a Republican or an independent leaning Republican and 20% identified as independent.
The poll found a tightening presidential race, with Biden at 47% and Trump at 46% in a head-to-head match-up, a statistical tie.
Trump was ahead of all other major Democratic challengers by similarly slim margins. He had a two-point lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and a one-point lead over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
Last month’s poll found Trump ahead of Biden and Sanders by three points, Warren by five points and Buttigieg by eight points.
Biden continues to lead the Democratic field in Wisconsin, garnering 23% support among Democratic primary voters. Sanders had 19% support, Warren 16% and Buttigieg 15%.
Still, 65% of Democratic primary voters say they may change their minds on their primary choice, while 34% say their mind is made up.
Half of respondents say they approve of Democratic Gov. Tony Evers as he nears the end of his first year in office, while 38% disapprove. In November, 47% of respondents said they approve of the governor and 38% disapproved.
The poll also found Wisconsin voters have a generally positive view of the economy, with 44% of respondents saying the economy has improved within the past year, 21% saying it has gotten worse and 34% saying it has stayed the same.