Skip to main content
You have permission to edit this article.
Edit
What Is ‘Transitory’ Inflation, and When Will Prices Come Down?
0 Comments
sponsored AP

What Is ‘Transitory’ Inflation, and When Will Prices Come Down?

  • 0
News-What-Is-Transitory-Inflation

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen weighed in on Americans’ growing concerns about inflation this week, telling CBS Evening News she believes the increased prices are “transitory.”

But not everyone agrees. Raphael Bostic, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve, said Tuesday that he’s no longer using the term “transitory” to describe the ongoing inflation situation. Instead, he plans to call the “pandemic-induced price swings” the nation is seeing “episodic.”

If you’re confused, you’re not alone. Yellen and Bostic are public officials, not etymologists. Why are they at odds over a word? And what does it mean?

Here’s what you need to know.

Inflation happens when the prices of goods and services increase over time. The Federal Reserve likes for inflation to average out to 2% over the longer run. In a perfect world, sometimes it’d be above 2%, sometimes it’d be below 2%, but inflation would be a low, stable number that allows households and businesses to “to make sound decisions regarding saving, borrowing and investment, which contributes to a well-functioning economy,” according to the Fed’s website.

Unfortunately, the pandemic has thrown everything out of whack. The latest measure of consumer prices put inflation at 5.4%, with prices for food, energy, new cars and more particularly rising in September.

That’s pretty far away from 2%.


Looking for ways to save money right now?

Refinancing your mortgage at a historically low rate could allow you to lower your monthly mortgage payment. Click your state to get started and see how much you could save!

View Rates


Is inflation transitory, or will prices keep going up?

The larger worry is how long the trend is going to last. Officials have spent months insisting that recent inflation is “transitory,” aka temporary. This not only helps them justify leaving interest rates the same — it also helps with public perception. People often change their buying habits based on their expectations of inflation, which can then actually influence inflation.

Yellen came down firmly on the “transitory” side on Tuesday, qualifying that “I don’t mean to suggest that these pressures will disappear in the next month or two.” She then mentioned the supply chain crunch that’s leading to shortages, linked to shipping problems and already impacting holiday shopping.

“As the economy adjusts and we get the pandemic under control, the global economy comes back, these pressures will mitigate and, I believe, will go back to normal levels,” she added.

When, exactly, will that happen? Nobody knows.

According to Reuters, Fed forecasts show inflation running above 2% until 2024.

“The current inflation spike is really a consequence of supply constraints meeting very strong demand, and that is all associated with the reopening of the economy, which is a process that will have a beginning, a middle and an end,” CNBC reported Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last month. “We see those things resolving … it’s very difficult to say how big those effects will be in the meantime or how long they will last.”

In the meantime, the White House is stepping in to help with — at least — the Christmas shopping problem. On Wednesday, President Joe Biden announced he’d finalized a deal with the major Port of Los Angeles to stay open 24 hours a day, seven days a week in hopes of alleviating the bottleneck.

But you still may want to budget for, and buy, presents early.


Dollar Scholar

Still learning the basics of personal finance? Let us teach you the major money lessons you NEED to know. Get useful tips, expert advice and cute animals in your inbox every week.

Sign Up


More from Money:

Inflation Explained: Should You Worry About Rising Prices Post-Pandemic?

How to Inflation-Proof Your Retirement as Prices Continue to Rise

Here’s Why You Should Ask for a 5% Raise Right Now

© Copyright 2021 Ad Practitioners, LLC. All Rights Reserved.

This article originally appeared on Money.com and may contain affiliate links for which Money receives compensation. Opinions expressed in this article are the author's alone, not those of a third-party entity, and have not been reviewed, approved, or otherwise endorsed. Offers may be subject to change without notice. For more information, read Money’s full disclaimer.

0 Comments

The business news you need

* I understand and agree that registration on or use of this site constitutes agreement to its user agreement and privacy policy.

Related to this story

Most Popular

Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device.

Topics

News Alerts

Badger Sports

Breaking News

Crime

Politics